ALASKA LNG

An Old Idea That Still Doesn’t Work

Since the 1960s, every attempt to build a North Slope gas pipeline has failed to attract investors or buyers. The Alaska LNG project (AK LNG) is the latest version of this decades-old idea—an 807-mile pipeline carrying methane (“natural gas”) from the North Slope to an export terminal in Nikiski, where it would be chilled into liquefied natural gas (LNG) and shipped to Asia.

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AK LNG: Key Facts

  • Cost: Estimated $44 billion—before inflation or tariffs.
  • Ownership: The State of Alaska holds just 25%.
  • Route: Crosses earthquake-prone areas and Cook Inlet beluga whale habitat.
  • Emissions: Operating the project would release 16.3 million tons of CO₂ annually—four times more than all Alaska’s passenger vehicles combined.

AK LNG Isn’t a Solution to Cook Inlet’s Gas Problem

AK LNG won’t be ready before 2030 — too late to address rising fuel prices and gas shortages in Southcentral Alaska.
The project can’t move forward unless overseas buyers agree to purchase its gas — and so far, interest has been weak and nonbinding.

We can’t control decisions made in foreign markets, but we can choose to invest in local renewable energy right now.
Even a fraction of the money spent chasing this pipeline could dramatically reduce Alaska’s gas use over the next decade. 

The $44 Billion Project Isn’t Economic

Global LNG supply is expected to exceed demand in the 2030s, making AK LNG both unnecessary and unprofitable. Despite more than $470 million in state spending since 2010, the project still lacks investors and depends on massive taxpayer subsidies, including federal loan guarantees and property tax breaks.

Without these subsidies, AK LNG would fail in the open market — and even with them, its economics are shaky.

Betting on Climate Failure

Investing in LNG is a bet on climate policy failure. Just when the world needs to phase out fossil fuels, AK LNG would be under pressure to ramp up exports to recover its massive start-up costs.

Scientists agree that carbon emissions must fall 40–60% by 2030 to avoid the worst impacts of global warming. Yet AK LNG’s export license would keep it selling gas into the 2060s — decades past global goals for net-zero emissions.

Making the world safe for LNG makes it dangerous for our future.

Salmon jumping up waterfall

AK LNG Would Deepen the Climate Crisis

If built, AK LNG could raise Alaska’s total carbon emissions by one-third. Over its 30-year lifespan, the gas AK LNG exports would generate 3.2 billion metric tons of CO₂ — triple Alaska’s annual emissions.

Federal regulators approved the project based on the flawed assumption that Alaskan gas would replace coal in Asia. But as affordable renewable energy grows in countries that historically relied on coal, that assumption no longer holds.

Solar panels at sunset

Politics, Not Markets, Keep AK LNG Alive

AK LNG has survived thanks to political pressure, not market demand. Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the U.S. federal government has promoted LNG exports as a tool of global diplomacy. The Trump administration pressured allies like Japan and Taiwan to support AK LNG — but so far, their commitments remain vague and nonbinding, motivated more by fear of trade retaliation than genuine need.

In reality, true energy independence — for Alaska and our Pacific allies — comes from investing in local, renewable energy projects, not doubling down on fossil fuel dependence.

Alaska Inlet Facing Climate Change

A Better Path Forward

Renewable Energy Can Fill the Energy Needs of Tomorrow

Redirecting public funds and political energy toward renewable, homegrown solutions would do far more to secure Alaska’s energy future, strengthen local economies, and protect the climate.

There are already a variety of cost-effective renewable energy options available, including solar, wind, geothermal, and sustainable hydro power.

Cook Inletkeeper stands firmly against the Alaska LNG project — and for a future powered by clean, local energy.

Blogs on Alaska LNG Through the Years